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Shrinking Income of the Middle Class India


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The hardest thing to understand in the world is the income tax- Albert Einstein
 

Table of Content

The Importance of India's Middle Class for Economic Growth: A Comprehensive Analysis.


How Rising Taxes are Affecting the Shrinking Income of India's Middle Class.

How the Middle Class in India is Struggling with High Inflation, Rising Interest Rates, and a Slowing Economy: A Comprehensive Analysis.

The Middle Class's Shrinking Earnings

The Growing Concern of Income Inequality in India: A Comprehensive Analysis of the Shrinking Middle Class

How the Indian Government Responded Quickly to Criticism of the Shrinking Income of the Middle Class and Proposed a New Tax Regime to Benefit Them.

Why Is the Shrinking Income Middle Class in India Facing a Growing Tax Burden?

The Shrinking Income of the Indian Middle Class: A Comprehensive Analysis and Its Implications for the Economy, Taxes, and Inequality

 

The Importance of India's Middle Class for Economic Growth: A Comprehensive Analysis

The middle class is a significant segment of India's population, accounting for approximately 30% of the total population. This segment has made a significant contribution of around 45% to the country's total GDP. - Asian Studies

According to data agency PRICE, the middle class in India is defined as those with an annual household income between INR 5 lakh and INR 30 lakh. This classification underlines the significance of the middle class in India's economy, as it represents a sizable portion of the population with a considerable amount of disposable income.

The growth of the middle class is a crucial factor for India's economic development, as it leads to increased consumption, which can drive demand for goods and services. The middle class also plays a vital role in boosting investment and entrepreneurship, which can drive job creation and economic growth.

The Indian government has taken several steps to improve the economic conditions of the middle class, such as increasing tax exemptions and reducing tax rates for essential goods and services. Furthermore, the government has also launched various schemes, such as the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana(PMJDY), to improve financial inclusion and provide access to affordable financial services to the middle class.

As the middle class continues to grow, it will remain a crucial segment for the Indian economy, contributing to its development and progress. The Indian government must continue to support the middle class by implementing policies that promote their growth and development. This support will enable the middle class to continue to contribute to the country's economic growth and development.

Infographics Chart of Middle Class India
 

How Rising Taxes are Affecting the Shrinking Income of India's Middle Class


The middle class in India has been facing a growing burden due to rising taxes over the years. With the increasing cost of living and stagnant incomes, the additional financial strain has made it difficult for many to make ends meet. In recent years, the government has increased the tax rates for various goods and services, including essential commodities such as petrol and diesel, which has led to inflation and affected the middle class the most. The pandemic has only exacerbated this issue, with many middle-class families struggling to pay for healthcare and other necessities. The government must find ways to ease the burden on the middle class, such as by increasing tax exemptions and reducing tax rates for essential goods and services, to ensure that they can maintain a decent standard of living.


The Indian Tax System: An Overview of Direct and Indirect Taxes and Their Implications

Tax filling documents
Rising Taxation

The Central Government of India imposes taxes such as customs duty, central excise duty, income tax, and service tax. State governments impose income tax on agricultural income, state excise duty, professional tax, land revenue, and stamp duty.

Taxation in India is mainly divided into Central and State Govt taxes, with two types of taxes:

The Indian Tax System: An Overview of Direct and Indirect Taxes and Their Implications for the Middle Class


Direct Taxes
  • Direct taxes are imposed on corporate entities and individuals and cannot be transferred to others. The types of direct taxes applicable in India are: Income Tax, Capital Gains Tax, and Corporate Tax.

  • Capital Gains Tax applies to profits from the sale of a capital asset only. There are two types of capital gains tax: Short-Term Capital Gains Tax and Long-Term Capital Gains Tax. Short-term capital gains include equity stocks sold within 12 months of purchase, debt mutual fund units sold within 36 months of purchase, and real estate property or gold sold within 36 months of purchase.

​ The recent change in tax regulations has removed the long-term tax benefit for debt mutual funds that invest less than 35% of their assets in equities. These mutual funds will now attract short-term capital gains tax, and the new regulations have eliminated the indexing benefits that were previously available. The change is expected to make bank fixed deposits and debt mutual funds more comparable. The move may impact fixed-income-oriented mutual fund houses, as inflows may moderate due to reduced attractiveness. However, liquid and institutional flows may not be as affected. (Source: Economic Times)

  • Corporate Tax applies to businesses and entities filing their returns as a company.

Indirect Taxes
  • Indirect taxes in India have been the most consistent and largest revenue source for the government. The different types of indirect taxes in India include Service Tax, Indian Excise Duty, Value Added Tax (VAT), Customs Duty, Securities Transaction Tax (STT), Stamp Duty, and Entertainment Tax.

  • Indirect taxes in India, such as service tax, value-added tax, and excise duty, have been removed for a large number of goods and services. These taxes have been replaced by a single Goods and Services Tax (GST).

  • Customs duty tax applies to goods being imported into India from other countries.

  • Securities Transaction Tax or STT applies to transactions involving an exchange of financial securities, such as equity stocks, mutual fund units, future and options contracts.

  • Stamp duty is a State Government levy on the transfer of assets within their territory.

  • Entertainment tax in India is also a state subject and applies to transactions involving the entertainment business.

  • Goods and Services Tax or GST has consolidated a complex web of indirect taxes in India. It has three layers of levies: Centre, State, and Local Authority or Municipalities.

  • Before the implementation of GST, indirect taxes could apply. Some exemptions on tax deduction include House Rent Allowance, Medical Insurance Deduction, Food Coupons, and Section 80C, 80CC, and 80CCD(1). (TOI)

The Impact of India's New Tax Regime on the Shrinking Income of the Middle Class: Is it a Boom or a Curse?

New tax rate regime has forgone exemptions, such as leave travel allowance (LTA), house rent allowance (HRA), children education allowance, deduction for professional tax, interest on housing loan.
Painting on the glass wall of a shop
Tax Payment: Civic Duty

Difference between the Old Regime and the New Regime

Infographics Chart of Old Tax regime of India

Infographics Chart of New Tax regime of India

  • The new income tax regime includes a basic exemption limit of INR 3 lakh, increased from the previous INR 2.5 lakh. Additionally, tax rebate on income earned up to INR 7 lakh is now available under section 87A, as opposed to the earlier limit of INR 5 lakh.

  • The old tax regime allows for deductions towards various components like salary (e.g. HRA, LTA), PPF, NPS, repayment of housing loan, and payment of tuition fees.

  • The new tax regime offers deductions and full rebate for individuals earning up to INR 7 lakh annually.

  • The features of the new tax regime include lower tax rates with tax slab rates ranging from 0% to 30%, with the highest tax rate applicable on income above INR 15 lakh. The new tax regime starts with INR 3 lakh, as opposed to the earlier system where income up to INR 2.5 lakh was exempt and the maximum tax rate was applicable on income above INR 10 lakh, which was 30%.

  • However, the new tax rate regime requires specified tax deductions and exemptions to be forgone, such as leave travel allowance (LTA), house rent allowance (HRA), children education allowance, deduction for professional tax, interest on housing loan, and deduction for specified investments or expenses under Chapter VI-A.

​An individual who is eligible to claim for deductions/exemptions under the old tax regime towards HRA, LTA, PPF, etc, may find the new regime bad for their income. On the other hand, the new tax regime permits a standard deduction of INR 50,000 for salaried persons and deduction for family pension being lower of INR 15,000 or 1/3rd of the pension.


The Heavy Burden of Rising Taxes on India's Middle Class: How it's Affecting Earnings and the Economy


According to a recent survey conducted by data agency PRICE, only 3% of Indian households have an annual income above INR 30 lakh and are classified as "rich". While the survey also identified 30% of Indian households as middle class, defined as those with an annual income between INR 5 lakh and INR 30 lakh, it is worth noting that the tax burden on the middle class has been a source of concern.

Under the regular tax regime, individuals with an income above INR 10 lakh (or INR 15 lakh under India's new no-deduction option) are charged a top-slab marginal rate of 30%. Wealthy individuals who earn in crores must pay a surcharge on their bill, raising the effective rate above 40%. However, middle-class taxpayers experience ascending tax rates too soon as they progress, which further exacerbates the issue of income inequality.

The survey's findings highlight the need for addressing the issue of income inequality and the tax burden on the middle class. As such, it is imperative for policymakers to take into account the concerns of the middle class and explore ways to ease their tax burden.

Despite the government's efforts to alleviate the tax burden on the middle class, ascending rates can squeeze middle-class taxpayers too soon as they prosper.

In conclusion, while the recent tax regime with new tax rates and deductions may be beneficial to certain individuals, the removal of long-term tax benefits for debt mutual funds may impact investors in the short term. The tax burden on the middle class remains a concern, and the government's efforts to alleviate this issue are yet to achieve the desired results.

 

How the Middle Class in India is Struggling with High Inflation, Rising Interest Rates, and a Slowing Economy: A Comprehensive Analysis

Rickshaw Cart in a narrow lane in India
Rising Burden of Tax on Middle Class
The RBI has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2022-23 to 6.8%, with Q3 at 4.4% and Q4 at 4.2%
The month-on-month change in WPI index for February saw an increase of 0.20% as against 0.13% in the preceding month

India, like many other countries, is facing a challenging economic situation post COVID-19. Rising inflation, high unemployment rates, and a depreciating currency are among the many issues that the economy is struggling with. These challenges threaten to undo the fragile recovery that many had hoped for. Consumers are forced to spend more on basic necessities, leaving less disposable income for discretionary spending. As a result, demand for goods and services has decreased, which has adversely affected businesses. Unfortunately, the middle class, which makes up 30% of the total population in India, has been hit the hardest. They are facing the brunt of the rising prices of goods and services. This has made it difficult for them to maintain their standard of living, let alone invest in growth opportunities. Unless steps are taken to address these underlying issues, the Indian economy may face prolonged stagnation and hardship.

Over the years, India has experienced a consistent rise in the cost of living, as indicated by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) of India. The WPI measures the price of goods at the wholesale level, while the CPI measures the price of goods at the retail level. Both indexes have been steadily increasing, which indicates that the cost of living in India is going up.

According to provisional data from the Commerce Ministry, India's wholesale price index (WPI)-based inflation eased to 3.85% in February on an annual basis from 4.73% in January. The month-on-month change in WPI index for February saw an increase of 0.20% as against 0.13% in the preceding month. The decline in the rate of inflation in February 2023 was primarily contributed by a fall in prices of crude petroleum & natural gas, non-food articles, food products, minerals, computer, electronic & optical products, chemicals & chemical products, electrical equipment, and motor vehicles, trailers & semi-trailers. (Source: The Economic Times)

The all India Wholesale Price Index (WPI) number recorded an annual rate of inflation of 4.73% (Provisional) for the month of January 2023 (over January 2022) against 4.95% recorded in December 2022. The decline in the rate of inflation in January 2023 was primarily contributed by mineral oils, chemicals & chemical products, textiles, crude petroleum & natural gas, textiles, and food products. (Source: Press Information Bureau)

According to a recent report by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), structural reforms are needed to address the underlying issues affecting the Indian economy. The RBI warns that without the necessary reforms, slow growth may persist, which would only worsen the challenges faced by the middle class. The RBI has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2022-23 to 6.8%, with Q3 at 4.4% and Q4 at 4.2%, and risks evenly balanced. Real GDP growth is projected at 7.1% for Q1FY24 and 5.9% for Q2, which is lower than the earlier estimate of 7%. (Source: Times of India)

Line Graph of India's GDP in last 5 Fiscal Year
GDP of India in Last 5 Fiscal Year

(Source : TOI)

Line Graph of India's GDP in Fiscal Year 22-23 ; Qtr wise
Quarterly GDP of FY22-23

The rising cost of living and slow economic growth rate are two significant issues that the Indian government needs to address. Unless the government takes steps to address these underlying issues, the Indian economy may continue to experience slow growth, which could exacerbate the challenges faced by the middle class.


 

The Middle Class's Shrinking Earnings

Amendment to the Finance Bill 2023 could potentially strip debt mutual funds of their long-term tax benefit if they invest less than 35 percent of their assets in equities.
Wooden Cubes with letters on table
Investment and rising taxation on Capital Gains

How India's Middle Class is Affected by the Recent Abolition of Indexation Benefit on Debt Funds and Tax Structures on Capital Gains: An Analysis


India's tax structure for capital gains varies depending on the type of asset in question:

  • For stocks or equity shares, short-term capital gains (STCG) are taxed at a rate of 15%, while long-term capital gains (LTCG) exceeding INR 1 lakh are taxed at a rate of 10% without indexation benefit, or 20% with indexation benefit.

  • For fixed deposits (FDs), interest income is taxed as per the individual's income tax slab rate. The interest earned on FDs is added to the individual's taxable income and taxed accordingly. This means that if an individual's total income exceeds the basic exemption limit of INR 2.5 lakh, they will be required to pay tax on the interest earned from their FDs.

  • For market-linked debentures (MLDs), taxation depends on whether the debentures are listed or unlisted. If listed, STCG is taxed at the applicable slab rate, while LTCG exceeding INR 1 lakh is taxed at a rate of 10% without indexation benefit or 20% with indexation benefit. If unlisted, STCG is taxed at the applicable slab rate, while LTCG is taxed at a rate of 30% without indexation benefit or 20% with indexation benefit.

  • For mutual funds (MFs), taxation also depends on whether the fund is an equity fund or a debt fund. For equity funds, STCG is taxed at a rate of 15%, while LTCG exceeding INR 1 lakh is taxed at a rate of 10% without indexation benefit or 20% with indexation benefit. For debt funds, STCG is taxed at the applicable slab rate, while LTCG exceeding 3 years is taxed at a rate of 20% with indexation benefit.

How Debt Mutual Funds Lost Their Long-Term Tax Benefit: Implications for India's Middle Class

Indexation adjusts an asset's value for inflation, preserving its real value and avoiding the negative effects of inflation. It's especially useful for long-term investments, where inflation can erode an asset's value.

The Indian government recently proposed an amendment to the Finance Bill 2023 that could potentially strip debt mutual funds of their long-term tax benefit if they invest less than 35 percent of their assets in equities. This amendment, could mean that such mutual funds will now attract short-term capital gains tax.

While this may seem like a negative development for debt mutual funds, personal finance experts suggest that the proposal actually brings bank fixed deposits (FDs) on-par with debt mutual funds. This could level the playing field for financial products such as bank fixed deposits, debt mutual funds, and insurance savings products.

The recent change in tax regulations is expected to impact fixed income-oriented mutual fund houses as inflows may moderate due to reduced attractiveness. However, it is possible that liquid and institutional flows may not be as affected.

The new tax regulations will now put taxation for Debt MF, Fixed Deposit, and Market Linked Debentures (MLD) at par. Overall, this move aims to create a more equitable financial environment for investors and financial institutions alike.

 

The Growing Concern of Income Inequality in India: A Comprehensive Analysis of the Shrinking Middle Class

The top 1% holds 6.82% of the total income, and the top 10% earns 32.52%.In contrast, the lower 50% of earners only make up around 22% of the total income.
Poor Indian women with a girl on a cart
Growing Income Inequity In India
“Experience demands that man is the only animal which devours his own kind, for I can apply no milder term to the general prey of the rich on the poor.”― Thomas Jefferson

Income inequality in India is caused by unequal access to education, employment, and resources, particularly in rural areas. The government needs to take action at both the central and state levels to address this issue. This includes increasing access to education and job training programs, investing in rural infrastructure development, and implementing progressive taxation policies.

According to the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) Annual Report (July 2021 - June 2022), the wealthiest 0.1% of individuals in the population receive 5-7% of the national income, while the top 1% earn almost three times more than the lowest-earning 10% of individuals. Additionally, the top 1% holds 6.82% of the total income, and the top 10% earns 32.52%.In contrast, the lower 50% of earners only make up around 22% of the total income. These numbers suggest a notable disparity in income in India.

Info-graphic Chart of Income Inequality In India
Demographic Income Distribution In India

According to the 2019-20 Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS), individuals who earn at least Rs 25,000 per month (or Rs 300,000 per year) are among the top 10% of wage earners in India. This is a significant finding, as it indicates that earning an annual income of Rs 300,000 would place someone within the top 10% of wage earners.

 

How the Indian Government Responded Quickly to Criticism of the Shrinking Income of the Middle Class and Proposed a New Tax Regime to Benefit Them

Nirmala Sitharaman announced a new tax regime that aims to benefit the middle class by allowing them to keep more money. This was reported by the Times of India (TOI).
Graphic Image of FM of India addressing Media

India's Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, recently announced that the government has increased the outlay on capital expenditure by 35% to ₹7.5 lakh crore in the current financial year, building on efforts since 2020. (Source: PIB)

FM Sitharaman aimed to reinforce the government's commitment to improving the country's infrastructure and promoting economic growth. The FM said:

  • Modi government has not levied new taxes on the middle class in any budget so far, and has ensured that no taxes are levied on people earning salaries up to ₹5 lakh annually.

  • The government has brought metro railways to 27 places, in line with the focus on developing smart cities and catering to the needs of the middle class.

  • The Modi government is implementing the 4Rs to reduce non-performing assets (NPA) and stabilize the banking sector.

  • The government aims to improve the health of public sector banks and ensure reliable financial services for the public.

  • Sitharaman addressed political parties promising freebies during election campaigns. She suggested that parties allocate funds in their budgets and consider the state's financial condition before making such promises. This prudent approach will prevent unrealistic promises, frustration, and disappointment.

  • India was part of the 'Fragile Five' economies in 2013. But since the Modi government took power in 2014, the country's economy has undergone significant changes and is now the world's fastest-growing.

  • The rupee has fluctuated against the dollar, but India is seen as having a stable government and balanced policies.

  • The Indian rupee is strong compared to most currencies except the dollar.

  • Non-governmental foreign organizations create economic indices using secondary sources. These indices often target the Indian government. It is important to question their methodology, data, and intentions to ensure accurate and unbiased survey results.

In conclusion, Nirmala Sitharaman's statements shed light on the various initiatives taken by the Modi government to improve the country's infrastructure, reduce the middle-class tax burden, and stabilize the banking sector. The government's focus on smart cities and the middle class is a positive step towards inclusive growth. With the right policies and initiatives, India can continue to be a leading economy in the world.


 

Why Is the Shrinking Income Middle Class in India Facing a Growing Tax Burden?


Middle class makes up around 30% of the population.
Board with glowing signage of TAX
Taxation

India's taxation burden has been a source of concern for the middle class, which makes up around 30% of the population. The government generates revenue through taxation, which is used to fund public services, national defense, and security initiatives. However, the rising cost of living, slow economic growth, and high inflation have made it difficult for the middle class to maintain their standard of living and invest in growth opportunities.

Below are some of the basic reasons for taxation and its growing trajectory.


Govt makes money from tax

The government generates revenue through taxation, where individuals and organizations are required to pay a percentage of their income or profits to the government. This revenue is then used to fund public services, such as education, healthcare, and infrastructure development, as well as national defense and security initiatives. Additionally, taxation policies can be used to incentivize certain behaviors or discourage others, such as offering tax breaks for investing in renewable energy or imposing higher taxes on tobacco products to discourage smoking. Overall, taxation plays a crucial role in shaping a country's economy and the distribution of resources within it.


Tax is growing as govt has taken loads of debts

According to the latest data, the General Government Debt to GDP ratio in India increased from 75.7% at the end of March 2020 to 89.6% at the end of the pandemic year FY21. This rise was due to increased spending on healthcare and economic relief measures during the pandemic. However, the ratio is expected to decline to 84.5% by the end of March 2022, thanks to various measures taken by the government.


Bar Chart of Fiscal Deficit of India
Fiscal Deficit in 3 FY

It is crucial for the government to keep the debt-to-GDP ratio under control to ensure long-term sustainability. A high debt-to-GDP ratio can lead to negative economic implications such as higher interest rates and inflation. Overall, the expected decline in the ratio is a positive sign for the Indian economy. The government needs to continue implementing measures to keep the debt under control. (Source: PIB)


Interest rates have gone up: Govt has to pay higher interest on their debts

Recently, there has been a significant increase in interest rates, which means that the Indian government now has to pay more in interest on their debts. This situation may lead to a 15% increase in India's interest burden in the upcoming fiscal year of 2023. According to a report published in The Economic Times, this increase in interest rates could put a significant strain on the government's finances and may require them to re-evaluate their budgetary priorities. The report also highlights the potential impact that this increase in interest rates could have on India's economy as a whole, especially in the current global economic climate. (Source: ET)


Tax to aid the fiscal deficit

The fiscal deficit has been a longstanding problem for the government, and it has been seeking new ways to alleviate the situation. One of the proposed solutions is the implementation of higher taxes to aid in achieving the 6.4% fiscal deficit goal for FY23. According to a recent article by [Business Standard], the government is considering this approach in hopes of increasing revenue and stabilizing the economy.


 

The Shrinking Income of the Indian Middle Class: A Comprehensive Analysis and Its Implications for the Economy, Taxes, and Inequality

India's middle class accounts for approximately 30% of the total population and contributes around 45% to the country's total GDP.
The top 1% holds 6.82% of the total income, and the top 10% earns 32.52%.In contrast, the lower 50% of earners only make up around 22% of the total income.
The middle class in India is defined as those with an annual household income between INR 5 lakh and INR 30 lakh-PRICE

Info-graphic of Income of Middle Class India

However, the significant difference in income in India, combined with the increasing cost of living, slow economic growth, and high inflation, has made it challenging for the middle class to maintain their standard of living and invest in growth opportunities. Although the government has attempted to alleviate the burden by increasing tax exemptions and lowering tax rates for essential goods and services, many middle-class families are still struggling to make ends meet.

The Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's recent announcement of a new tax regime has received mixed responses. While there is a growing need for structural reforms to tackle the underlying issues affecting the Indian economy, the slow growth may continue to worsen the challenges faced by the middle class.

India may experience the "Matthew Effect," a phenomenon where the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. This trend is already happening in many countries around the world, including India, where income inequality has been increasing. The wealth gap is widening, and those at the top have more resources to invest and grow their wealth, while those at the bottom are struggling to make ends meet. Without proper intervention, this trend can continue and worsen the problem of income inequality in India.

In conclusion, the Indian government must continue to support the middle class by implementing policies that promote their growth and development while ensuring that they can maintain a decent standard of living. Achieving a balance between generating revenue and ensuring citizens' well-being, particularly the middle class, is crucial for the country's progress.

 

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Reference List

2) PMJDY

4) TOI

7) PIB



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Guest
Apr 15, 2023

Actually the middle class (mainly service holders) are victimised by the tax policies of Govt, because they already pay taxes from salaries and again have to pay on more or less every commodity.It is double burden for a single person.

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Saugata Dastider
Saugata Dastider
Apr 15, 2023
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Right and even with these higher tax slabs what is the facilities and infrastructure we are getting back from the administration.

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Guest
Apr 15, 2023
Rated 5 out of 5 stars.

Well explained

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Saugata Dastider
Saugata Dastider
Apr 15, 2023
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Thank you

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Guest
Apr 15, 2023
Rated 5 out of 5 stars.

The tax rates are too high to be true...

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saugatadastider
saugatadastider
Apr 15, 2023
Replying to

The major concern is not about the rates or the amount we pay. But, where is the infrastructure development to justify that investment.

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